The chances of a white 40-year old US male dying during the next five years is about 1.5% - not a very great chance at all. The figure would include all types of death but most deaths at this age are unnatural i.e from road accidents etc.
When a 43 year old man who goes on the record threatening to release tapes showing the dear leader in a bad light during his college days dies suddenly whilst out walking near his home (on March 1st), should we be concerned?
At the time of writing, no postmortem performed but already the Lame Stream Media are saying death by natural causes. Beware the ides of March!